Robin Saige we check the tools AI agents call

The price the machine economy will settle on

A GPU-hour is what it costs to rent one AI accelerator for an hour — the raw fuel of everything agents do. On 2026-10-05 the CME lists futures that let people hedge that price; they cash-settle on the monthly average of a daily rental index. The daily levels are published openly and kept by nobody — two web-archive captures exist, and the last independent price tracker went dark on 2026-04-19. So we mirror the settlement inputs, dated and hashed: hold the dailies and anyone can recompute a settlement and check the exchange's number.

Compute is the grain of the machine economy — and SGS was founded in 1878 verifying grain shipments. reported = the index publishers' own numbers · observed = prices we recorded ourselves.

$5.61
B200 · per GPU-hour reported
$2.74
H100 · neo-cloud · per GPU-hour
51
days until the first contract lists
1
day of the settlement index we hold so far — the mirror starts now

One hour of one chip, priced reported

$0$1$2$3$4$5$6$7$8$ per GPU-hourB200$5.61single indexH100$2.74neocloud$7.20hyperscalerA100$1.65neocloud$3.72hyperscaler

An H100 is $2.74 from a neo-cloud and $7.20 from a hyperscaler — 2.6× for the identical chip-hour. A cash-settled future has to choose one of them; it chooses the index. That is why an index exists at all, and why it matters who checks it. Rent one H100 for a full day and it's about $66; a rack for a month runs into six figures. (as of Aug 13, 2026)

The only price history anyone holds observed

Before the index, one tracker recorded provider list-prices. It froze on 2026-04-19. This is its H100 25th-percentile rate, Feb–Apr 2026 — with the five-week hole where it stopped publishing left exactly as it is. We hold it because it is the only pre-financialization record that exists; we recorded it before it could vanish too.

$4.95$2.95
2026-02-22H100 p25 $/hr · gputracker (defunct)2026-04-19

An independent second reading reported

GPUAlpha publishes its own composite compute index — not a mirror of the settlement index. Two instruments on different machinery: where they stop agreeing, one is wrong.

148.72
GPUAlpha composite index (independent)
Honest coverage. We have one day of the settlement index so far (captured Aug 13, 2026); the time-series above is the backfill, not our own recording — yet. The mirror starts now and captures daily: every pre-launch day not recorded is lost for good, which is the whole reason to start before October. We mirror what Silicon Data publicly posts; we cannot see its input transactions, and we do not yet capture CME's own settlement (licensing — the recomputation doesn't need it). Pre-registered method + falsifiers: see method.

← Findings